Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 1.029584 1.250911 1.486855 1.755054 2.049507 2.361155 2.714181
2024-10-27 0.790485 1.101037 1.456142 1.883664 2.376571 2.920116 3.558181
2024-11-03 0.674183 1.034137 1.465645 2.004154 2.643141 3.364128 4.226816
2024-11-10 0.583113 0.980440 1.477839 2.118217 2.896458 3.790901 4.877244
2024-11-17 0.515596 0.942289 1.497146 2.230330 3.138685 4.197870 5.499145
2024-11-24 0.435788 0.874471 1.468897 2.275780 3.294892 4.500125 5.997215
2024-12-01 0.357210 0.795419 1.415987 2.281780 3.396293 4.732413 6.409476
2024-12-08 0.271314 0.690100 1.315971 2.217271 3.402351 4.844262 6.674389
2024-12-15 0.202054 0.597435 1.223419 2.154122 3.403305 4.944663 6.921381
2024-12-22 0.152895 0.528422 1.157444 2.120501 3.436916 5.081080 7.208349
2024-12-29 0.125628 0.494914 1.141779 2.154269 3.556841 5.323946 7.624633
2025-01-05 0.099267 0.456386 1.113980 2.167730 3.647793 5.529189 7.994202
2025-01-12 0.068569 0.400157 1.055983 2.140697 3.692037 5.686662 8.321030
2025-01-19 0.064684 0.411432 1.114063 2.288147 3.976921 6.155985 9.041075
2025-01-26 0.059746 0.418060 1.163189 2.421665 4.242530 6.600616 9.730623
2025-02-02 0.054599 0.422579 1.208246 2.549337 4.500992 7.037451 10.412478
2025-02-09 0.049688 0.426243 1.251271 2.673916 4.755616 7.470141 11.090397
2025-02-16 0.038798 0.405415 1.247105 2.724476 4.906735 7.768674 11.600433
2025-02-23 0.026740 0.372308 1.216266 2.731116 4.994901 7.984474 12.006024
2025-03-02 0.013586 0.318731 1.138893 2.659449 4.969212 8.049000 12.218753
2025-03-09 0.005401 0.270828 1.065558 2.589194 4.941818 8.108567 12.423054
2025-03-16 0.001664 0.236295 1.014764 2.551757 4.958208 8.223098 12.694432
2025-03-23 0.000568 0.222618 1.009044 2.589358 5.083843 8.483664 13.153679